Colonel Randrianirina Sworn in as Madagascar's President
The Spin
Narrative A
Madagascar's military takeover is a genuine people's revolution where youth protesters finally found military allies willing to stand with them against a corrupt regime. The Gen Z-led demonstrations against chronic poverty, water outages and government corruption gained unstoppable momentum when Colonel Randrianirina courageously joined the cause. This awakening of the people promises real change after decades of failed leadership.
Narrative B
Madagascar's military coup is another unconstitutional power grab that undermines democratic governance and regional stability. The African Union rightfully suspended the country, while the U.N. condemned this illegal seizure of power that violates constitutional order. International isolation and diplomatic consequences will only worsen conditions for ordinary Madagascans who deserve legitimate democratic leadership, not military rule.
Metaculus Prediction
Public Figures
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