Dozens Killed in Afghanistan-Pakistan Border Clashes
The Spin
Narrative A
While relations between Pakistan and Afghanistan are at the lowest they have ever been, the truth is that Pakistan needs to engage this problem diplomatically. Choosing the alternative option of kinetic force will only lead to a full-fledged war between the two countries and such a conflict would be both catastrophic and unpredictable for all sides.
Narrative B
Pakistan is rightly out of patience with the Taliban who have, despite multiple warnings, taken no action to prevent the TTP from carrying out dozens of attacks on Pakistani territory. These attacks are the logical conclusion of tensions that have been brewing and the reality is that this is likely only just the beginning of a cycle of violence, with no easy solutions to stop the fighting from escalating.
Metaculus Prediction
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