India Missile Attack on Pakistan Kills 31, Injures 57

India Missile Attack on Pakistan Kills 31, Injures 57
Above: Above: A flare goes up in air over the hill near main town of Poonch district of Kashmir, on May 7, 2025.  Image copyright: Punit Paranjpe/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The surgical strikes were a necessary, measured response to cross-border terrorism, designed to be nonescalatory in nature. Pakistan has consistently harbored terrorist organizations that have carried out numerous attacks against India. The targeted locations were specifically chosen to eliminate terrorist infrastructure only.

Narrative B

India's unprovoked, cowardly aggression deliberately targeted civilian areas and religious sites, including mosques, resulting in innocent casualties, in an attack that violates international law and Pakistan's sovereignty. As there is no evidence to link Pakistan to the April 22 attack, this act of war demands a forceful response to protect Pakistan's territorial integrity.

Metaculus Prediction


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