Iran's Parliament Votes to Close Strait of Hormuz

Iran's Parliament Votes to Close Strait of Hormuz
Above: An overhead view of the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Facility in Iran. Image copyright: Maxar Satellite Imagery via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Iran narrative

Iran has every right to defend itself after America's unprovoked aggression on peaceful nuclear facilities under international supervision. The U.S. attacked sovereign Iranian territory, forcing Tehran to consider all defensive options, including closing the Strait of Hormuz. This reckless American escalation threatens global energy security and regional stability.

Pro-US narrative

Iran's nuclear program posed an existential threat that required decisive action to protect global security and defend Israel. The precision strikes successfully neutralized Iran's weapons capabilities without targeting civilians or seeking regime change. America's military superiority and resolve have restored deterrence in the region.

Metaculus Prediction



The Controversies



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