Study: Ultra-Processed Foods Increase Risk of Early Death

    Study: Ultra-Processed Foods Increase Risk of Early Death
    Above: A photo illustration of 'Ultra Processed' foods on Feb. 16, 2018 in London, England.  Image credit: Dan Kitwood/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

    The Facts

    • A study in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine found that a 10% increase in ultra-processed food (UPF) consumption raises the risk of premature death by 3%. This is associated with an estimated 124,000 early deaths in the US and nearly 18,000 in the UK in 2018-2019.
    • A comprehensive study analyzing data from eight countries (Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, the U.K., and the U.S.) found that UPFs account for 53.4% of total caloric intake in England, second only to the U.S. at 54.5%, highlighting the widespread consumption of these industrially manufactured products.
    • Ultra-processed foods are defined as ready-to-eat industrial formulations made with ingredients extracted from foods or synthesized in laboratories, containing additives such as preservatives, emulsifiers, sweeteners, and artificial colors and flavors.

    Sources Split


    The Spin


    Narrative A

    The evidence clearly demonstrates that ultra-processed foods pose a significant public health threat through their artificial ingredients and industrial processing methods, necessitating immediate government intervention through taxation, marketing restrictions, and stronger regulations to protect public health.

    Narrative B

    The relationship between UPFs and mortality remains correlational rather than causal, and the Nova classification system has limitations including arbitrary definitions and overly broad food categories. More research on this important topic is urgently needed.


    Metaculus Prediction

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    © 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

    All rights reserved.

    Version 7.18.3