Australia: Ex-Minister Launches Public Inquiry Into AUKUS Submarine Deal

Is this a vital shield for Australia's security or a reckless deal that surrenders the nation's independence?
Australia: Ex-Minister Launches Public Inquiry Into AUKUS Submarine Deal
Above: Models of Rolls-Royce SSBN Dreadnought PWR 3 reactor pump jet propulsion and SSN-AUKUS PWR 3+ reactor pump jet propulsion submarines at ExCel London on April 14. Image credit: John Keeble/Getty Images

The Facts

  • Former environment minister Peter Garrett will lead a crowdfunded independent inquiry into the AUKUS submarine deal, organized by the not-for-profit Australian Peace and Security Forum, with a final report due by Oct. 30. Garrett made the announcement Tuesday.
  • The inquiry's other commissioners include retired Admiral Chris Barrie, former Western Australian Premier Carmen Lawrence, Australia Institute co-chief executive Leanne Minshull and Karina Lester of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons Australia.
  • Labor backbencher Ed Husic publicly called for the AUKUS deal to be rethought, citing U.S. workforce shortages, supply chain constraints and quality concerns as factors affecting submarine production rates.

Sources Split


The Spin


Narrative A

AUKUS is a smart, necessary pivot for Australia — nuclear-powered submarines protect vital sea lanes that carry 99% of the country's trade, and gutting the deal would leave those supply lines dangerously exposed. Bipartisan support has held firm in Canberra, Washington and London, and the political signals from the US remain overwhelmingly positive. A crowdfunded side inquiry with no government authority undermines real defence planning and puts national security at risk.

Narrative B

AUKUS was always a rushed, poorly conceived deal scribbled together by politicians more worried about optics than Australia's actual strategic interests. Australians never consented to a financially unsustainable pact that turns the continent into a U.S. military outpost aimed at China. The Pentagon's own review is the wake-up call that Australia needs to forge an independent national security path instead of trailing a fading Atlantic empire.


Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.3