Study: Extreme Weather Disrupted 94 Elections Worldwide

Is climate change a genuine threat to democracy or an alarmist agenda dressed up as science?
Study: Extreme Weather Disrupted 94 Elections Worldwide
Above: People queue to vote outside improvised polling stations in the southern Turkish city of Antakya on May 14, 2023. Image credit: Can Erok/AFP/Getty Images

The Facts

  • A report published by the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA) on Tuesday has found that at least 94 elections and referendums across 52 countries were disrupted by natural hazards over the past two decades.
  • In 2024, extreme weather disrupted 23 elections in 18 countries, including Brazil, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Senegal, by damaging infrastructure, displacing voters or forcing last-minute changes to electoral processes.
  • The report examined several case studies, including the impact of Hurricane Sandy on the 2012 U.S. federal election, a 2023 earthquake on Turkey's presidential and parliamentary elections and cyclones on Mozambique's 2019 elections.

Sources Split


The Spin


Climate-concerned narrative

Climate change is already wrecking elections worldwide — displacing voters, destroying polling places and making it physically dangerous to stand in line on a 110-degree day. Billion-dollar weather disasters now strike every two to three weeks in the U.S. alone, and election officials are nowhere near prepared. Democracy itself is on the line if governments continue to ignore climate risk in electoral planning.

Climate-skeptic narrative

The climate alarm machine has swapped real data for red-tinted maps and panic-driven buzzwords. Alarmist predictions from the early 2000s never materialized, climate models consistently fail and the loudest advocates often can't explain basic atmospheric science. Dressing up political agendas in this way erodes trust in institutions that should know better.


Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



Go Deeper

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.18.3

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.3