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Years of ever-tightening sanctions never collapsed the Russian economy or stopped the shooting, so clinging to pressure alone mistakes hope for strategy. Direct dealmaking shows Washington can still negotiate when American interests demand it. Renewed Russian diesel shipments and potential joint ventures could ease fuel costs and create incentives for cooperation. A real settlement, not endless attrition, is what makes the next war less likely.
Handing Moscow sanctions relief while missiles keep falling rewards aggression and buys nothing meaningful in return. Political theater at the pump won't significantly lower prices, but risks refilling Russia's war chest and signaling that American law bends for a campaign-season stunt. Without concrete concessions from Moscow, easing the squeeze weakens Washington's leverage and convinces the Kremlin that outlasting Western allies works.