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A summit of governments fighting insurgencies, civil war and secession claims lecturing a neighbor about sovereignty rings hollow. Hard power is the real game and boxing in a landlocked state of 130 million while openly courting its enemies only raises the risk of a wider regional war. Quiet negotiation over ports, borders and shared water would serve the Horn far better than a regional bloc designed to isolate Ethiopia.
Ethiopia's hunt for a coastline and its go-it-alone dam building amount to bullying an entire neighborhood into subsidizing one country's ambitions. Blaming Cairo, Asmara and Khartoum for a rebellion rooted in Addis Ababa's own broken peace promises is a transparent attempt to shift responsibility abroad. Shared rivers and access to shared seas demand negotiation and consent, not unilateral moves, ultimatums and pressure backed by military threat.