05 January 2023

Daily Newsletter

Amazon to Cut 18K Jobs Amid Rising Costs

Photo: Reuters

The Facts

  • On Wednesday, US multinational tech giant Amazon announced it would cut over 18K jobs — roughly 6% of its corporate workforce — in an ongoing effort to rein in costs.

  • In a letter to employees, CEO Andy Jassy cited the “uncertain economy” and Amazon's decision to hire “rapidly over the last several years” as reasons for the cuts, which will primarily affect staff in Amazon Stores and PXT organizations.


The Spin

Narrative A

Although the pandemic tech boom allowed companies to increase their workforces by as much as double, recent economic woes have, unfortunately, shattered that brief market boom. The US Federal Reserve has reacted to inflation by hiking interest rates, leading to a reduction in available venture capital while digital ad revenue is also down. The firms that over-hired during the pandemic are now being forced to downsize.

Narrative B

Layoffs are the old-school way of dealing with recession. Companies should today find alternative strategies because social media has made everyone a workers' rights activist with a global microphone. Beyond the poor optics, companies that conduct mass layoffs have been proven to perform more poorly than those that avoid them because of the cost of restructuring and the low morale among remaining staff.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the annual US unemployment rate will be at least 6.06% in 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

US: Mastermind of College Admissions Scam Sentenced

The Facts

  • William "Rick" Singer, the architect of the largest US college admissions scam, was sentenced on Wednesday to 3.5 years in federal prison for helping children of the rich and famous secure admission to elite schools and universities through cheating and bribery.

  • In addition to the prison time, the 62-year-old was sentenced to three years of supervised release and ordered to forfeit over $10M. Singer is due to report to prison on Feb. 27.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The desperation of wealthy parents to get their children into prestigious schools is astounding. The fraud not only reflects the extraordinary lengths these influential people can go to but also exposes the vulnerability of a flawed education system. While the story may have ended with the culprits behind bars, the fund-raising-admission process link is left unscathed, leaving the rampant world of college elitism intact.

Pro-establishment narrative

Although there are certainly monetary barriers to attending prestigious schools, the unraveling of this scam attests to the steps that have been taken to address this. While the deeply integrated classism in the prestigious US college admissions system cannot be changed overnight, Singer's sentencing is a start.

See sources

PRC, Philippines Commit to Peaceful South China Sea Solution

The Facts

  • China and the Philippines announced on Thursday that they would establish a direct line of communication regarding the South China Sea and resolve their disputes in the contested waterway through peaceful avenues.

  • The Philippines and China signed a framework agreement that contains 14 elements aimed at reducing tensions and strengthening economic collaboration. The new accord comes as both nations strive to mend a damaged relationship after the Philippines won an arbitral ruling in 2016 that invalidated China's claims in the South China Sea.


The Spin

Anti-China narrative

The Philippines' position is that there is no territorial conflict with China. The reality is that China is claiming territory that belongs to the Philippines. The Philippines will continue to work with China and the other parties through diplomacy and dialogue. However, the Filipino position is clear it will not give up even a square inch of the territory of the Republic of the Philippines to any foreign power.

Pro-China narrative

China has a solid historical and legal basis for its claims. China has never changed the basis or scope of its claims and has worked with ASEAN countries to maintain regional stability. The most significant risk to peace and stability in the South China Sea is the inappropriate intervention and frequent interference by countries outside the region. Nations without territorial claims in the South China Sea should respect efforts made by countries in the region to maintain peace and stability.

Nerd narrative

There is a 5% chance there will be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

India: Supreme Court Halts Demolition of 4K Homes

Photo: India Today

The Facts

  • On Thursday, India's Supreme Court stayed the decision of the Uttarakhand High Court to demolish over 4K homes located along the railway line in the Banbhulpura district of the town of Haldwani, which would have rendered over 50k people, primarily Muslims, homeless.

  • The Supreme Court ruled that the residents, reportedly 25K voters and 15K children living in a 78-acre tract, could not be evicted by force without a thorough review of their rights to the property, deeming this case a "human issue."


The Spin

Left narrative

This is but the latest in a series of eviction and demolition schemes happening across India. These actions target so-called "illegal" sites that have been around for decades, operating legally and within the full view of the government until it no longer benefits leaders. Human beings who have lives and attachments to the locations are uprooted simply because they're seen as poor and disposable.

Right narrative

This case went on for six years in the Uttarakhand High Court, which ordered the illegal encroachments into government lands belonging to the utility to be removed peacefully. Yet, the Islamist-Leftist-Liberal faction keeps trying to depict the administration as the villain by turning a legitimate eviction drive into a human rights issue. As long as the law applies to all in India — Hindus and Muslims — squatters will never be the victims.

See sources

Multiple US States Furthering Anti-Homeless Policies

The Facts

  • As numerous states across the US pass more restrictions on homeless encampments, including fines, imprisonment, and forced hospitalization measures, advocates are raising concerns over the welfare of homeless individuals.

  • A new Missouri state law, which was signed by Gov. Mike Parson in June and took effect on Jan. 1, has made it a crime for anyone to sleep on state property. It also imposes up to a $750 fine or 15 days in prison for multiple offenses of sleeping in public parks or under city highways.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The issue of homelessness is not a left or right issue, but rather a health crisis affecting both homeless and non-homeless city residents. This is why some of the most liberal cities — like Los Angeles, Seattle, Portland, and Washington, DC — have begun to outlaw such dangerous encampments. Leaving mentally ill or drug-addicted people vulnerable to busy streets and violent crime is not compassion, it's reckless.

Establishment-critical narrative

With nowhere else to go, homeless people only endure further hardship and trauma when their encampments are bulldozed away. These laws don't just remove inconvenient tents, but also the food, clothing, and other goods these people require to stay alive. Cities are deciding to scrap vital programs without providing viable alternatives. With political and economic life embracing austerity, these policies are inhumane and cruel.

See sources

Day 316: Ukraine Rejects Orthodox Christmas Ceasefire

The Facts

  • For the first time since the conflict began last February, Ukraine is set to receive French and American armored vehicles following announcements from presidents Macron and Biden on Wednesday. Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy thanked Western counterparts but pressed them to provide tanks — which are used primarily to break enemy lines, while armored vehicles are fighting vehicles that transport larger numbers of soldiers.

  • Without specifying numbers, France's Macron said his country would be sending Ukraine the AMX-10 RC and Bastion armored vehicles.


The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Russia's Patriarch Kirill is not an authority in global orthodoxy, and worse, he has openly supported Putin's invasion of Ukraine. The proposed ceasefire was nothing but a cynical trap and Russian propaganda.

Pro-Russia narrative

As countries that predominantly follow the Eastern Orthodox tradition, Russia and Ukraine should observe the ceasefire so that people can safely celebrate and worship on both Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Nerd narrative

There is a 3% chance that Russia will be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Turkish Court Suspends Funding for Pro-Kurdish Party

The Facts

  • Turkey's Constitutional Court on Thursday ruled 8-7 in favor of freezing Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) bank accounts holding treasury funds while a case on banning the party over alleged ties to the terrorist-designated Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) continues.

  • This decision, which deprives the second-largest opposition group in the Turkish parliament of key revenue ahead of June's general elections, comes as the HDP was reportedly due to receive $29M in treasury funding this year.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

This temporary freezing of funds is just the latest step in the ongoing battle to combat the HDP's long list of wrongdoings. The party has long colluded with the terrorist PKK and its affiliated groups, transferring taxpayer money to and actively providing personnel in defiance of the democratic and universal rules of law to undermine the unity of the Turkish state.

Pro-establishment narrative

The continuous attempt to dissolve or otherwise limit the HDP — including through the dismissal of dozens of HDP politicians from office since 2015 — undermines the ability of Turkish voters to chose their representation, and is thus an attack on democracy and pluralism. This latest move must be condemned.

Cynical narrative

The court has clearly become an election tool for the ruling government; it's no coincidence that it ruled this way just months before general elections despite rejecting the same request twice in the past year.

See sources

Canada's Peterson Challenges "Remedial" Training Order

The Facts

  • Prominent Canadian psychologist Jordan Peterson is mounting a legal challenge against the College of Psychologists of Ontario (CPO) over claims that the governing board is threatening to revoke his license to practice unless he attends a coaching program.

  • In a ruling publicized on Nov. 22, the CPO confirmed that it requires Peterson to complete a "Specified Continuing Education or Remedial Program" in order to "address issues regarding professionalism in public statements."


The Spin

Left narrative

Jordan Peterson is known for decrying “victim culture,” yet he loves to play the victim. His roots are in academia, but since becoming a public figure, he has left teaching, citing reasons that don't really make sense. Not only is he a hugely controversial figure, but also a tremendously influential one, which brings a set of responsibilities he's not adhering to. Until he does, he must stay in his lane of academia.

Right narrative

Let’s just call it what it is Jordan Peterson is having his professional career and reputation threatened by political bullies. The only “wrongdoing” Peterson has committed is dissenting from the prevailing woke ideology. Professional bodies are supposed to ensure the competency of practitioners, not police language and political beliefs.

See sources

Israel: Longest-Serving Palestinian Prisoner Released

The Facts

  • Karim Younis, who was convicted in 1983 of the kidnapping and murder of Israeli soldier Avi Bromberg in the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and is the longest-serving Palestinian prisoner in an Israeli prison, was released on Thursday.

  • Younis — dressed in a traditional Palestinian shawl — was greeted by family, friends, and supporters in his hometown of Ara, who chanted slogans and carried him on their shoulders.


The Spin

Pro-Palestine narrative

Younis is a hero of the Palestinian struggle for freedom from occupation and deserves to be celebrated for his sacrifice. Though extremists in the Israeli government may attack him rhetorically, Younis will continue to stand firm in his commitment to the Palestinian cause.

Pro-Israel narrative

Younis is not a hero, but simply a terrorist. His release is another example of the moral disparity in this conflict. Israelis are seen as oppressors and occupiers when they call for peace, but Palestinians are lauded as heroes for murdering Israelis.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that Israel will recognize Palestine by September 2068, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Report: Labor Market Strong Despite High Interest Rates

Photo: finance

The Facts

  • According to the "ADP National Employment" report — jointly developed between private company ADP and the Stanford Digital Economy Lab and released on Thursday — US private employment increased by 235K jobs last month.

  • Economists had expected a gain of approximately 150K. The news, alongside unemployment claims for the last week of December dropping to 204K from 223K, caused the S&P to open 1.2% lower as well as the Nasdaq to decrease by 1%.


The Spin

Narrative A

Markets already want to know when the Federal Reserve will start making cuts. While many have warned US inflation hasn't turned the corner yet, the markets are demanding change. With the ADP report potentially causing the Fed to raise interest rates even further, it's perhaps too early to be having such a discussion.

Narrative B

The Fed must stop raising interest rates. Domestic inflation is driven by profits rather than wages, which interest rates don't directly affect. Impacting workers rather than businesses, the government should use other means to tame inflation such as windfall profit taxes and antitrust enforcement.

Cynical narrative

Discussion of a healthy labor market and raising interest rates often neglects the deadly fingerprints of COVID. Fed Chair Jerome Powell himself correlated a tight job market to the pandemic deaths of nearly 500K American laborers. Factor in perhaps 4M long COVID sufferers, and the picture of just why the US job market is so "tight" has more context.

See sources

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