Day 320: Russia Rejects Peace Deal Speculation as 'Hoax'

    Photo: Reuters [via BBC News]

    The Facts

    • On Monday, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskova described as a "hoax" recent reports in Ukraine that Russia was trying to force Kyiv to sign a Korea-style peace deal to end the 10-month-long conflict.

    • Oleksiy Danilov from Ukraine's National Security and Defense Council reportedly suggested that the Kremlin's Dmitry Kozak is meeting with European politicians. The alleged intent is to sign a peace agreement similar to the previous Minsk accords.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    It would be a mistake to say Putin’s days as an aggressor are over. For the Russian president, defeat is not an option. He will never cede the four eastern provinces he has declared part of Russia to Ukraine. Moreover, if the Kremlin succeeds in toppling Ukraine, Russia will likely eye the Baltic countries of Estonia, Lithuania, and Latvia as well as Finland, Poland, and Romania. The US and its allies must arm Ukraine and help Zelenskyy push back harder — before it's too late.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    The West has used the situation in Ukraine to create tension with Russia for years. Pres. Putin will not allow the West to use Ukraine as a weapon to weaken and divide Russia. Instead, he will do the right thing to protect its national interests and the interests of its citizens. The world will soon realize Russia is the only real guarantor of Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity.

    Nerd narrative

    There's a 15% chance of a coup or regime change in Russia during 2022 according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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