Trump Kicks Off 2024 Campaign With NH, SC Stops

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The Facts

  • Former US Pres. Donald Trump on Saturday made the first two appearances of his 2024 presidential campaign – speaking to hundreds of people in New Hampshire and South Carolina.

  • In New Hampshire, which was the first primary Trump won on the way to the presidency in 2016, the former president addressed party leaders and elected officials at the state’s annual GOP meeting.


The Spin

Democratic narrative

It’s dumbfounding that someone who inspired an insurrection just two years ago is running to return to office and actually garnering any support. However, the fact that Trump’s 2024 campaign has had a low-energy rollout could be a sign that his continued lies about the 2020 election – not to mention the damage those claims did to Republicans in the 2022 midterms – have cost him dearly, and he could be ripe for a challenge from other potential GOP nominees.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump is as popular and important to the GOP as ever. It would be silly to spend big money on large rallies this early in the race, so instead the former president has posted policy videos on social media and is now slowly beginning to hit the campaign trail. The GOP knows there’s no separating Trump from the policies the party loves, so it’ll get behind him 100% as the campaign rolls along.

Nerd narrative

There's a 35% chance that Trump will win the 2024 US Presidential Election if it is Biden v. Trump, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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