Rohingya Resettlement: Where is ASEAN? - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Australian Institute of International AffairsJan 09
UN: Hundreds of Rohingya Died at Sea in 2023
The Facts
The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has reported that 569 Rohingya people — the mostly Muslim minority in Myanmar — died at sea last year while journeying across the Andaman Sea and Bay of Bengal to Southeast Asia. The hundreds of deaths are among the almost 4.5K who fled overcrowded refugee camps in Bangladesh in 2023.
According to the commissioner's statement, the number of reported missing or dead is now "the highest since 2014, when the total reached 730," with the number in 2023 rising more than 200 compared to 2022. It added that "some 66% of those embarking on these deadly journeys" are women and children.
The Spin
Narrative A
The lack of international commitment to accepting the Rohingya is disappointing. It's particularly troubling coming from member states of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), which seem to be dealing with growing islamophobia and anti-immigrant sentiment. Even large Muslim-majority countries, including Indonesia and Malaysia, are dealing with this. If a small nation like Bangladesh can house many thousands Rohingya, larger states can, too.
Narrative B
This crisis has been caused by the decrease in global aid for the Rohingya, which dropped below $500M last year. Global bodies should work to collect more donations, and then they can bolster efforts to repatriate these people in Myanmar safely. This may take some time because Myanmar is still a dangerous place for them, but it's positive that countries like China are leading negotiations.
Nerd narrative
There's a 50% chance that Myanmar will no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war by December 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.