Brazil's Lula Will Seek Reelection in 2026

Brazil's Lula Will Seek Reelection in 2026
Above: Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Jakarta, Indonesia on Oct. 24, 2025. Image copyright: Aditya Irawan/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Left narrative

At nearly 80, Lula demonstrates remarkable physical vitality that puts younger politicians to shame, working tirelessly with just four hours of sleep and maintaining the energy of someone decades younger. He's sharper and more energetic than ever, and Brazil will benefit from having such a physically robust and mentally sharp leader ready for another historic term.

Right narrative

Lula is consolidating power as he and his party have masterfully weaponized every tool of the state apparatus, as well as unions, NGOs and legacy media, to create an unstoppable electoral machine that makes fair competition impossible. Only Jair Bolsonaro possesses the leadership and anti-establishment credibility necessary to break this rigged system and restore democratic balance to Brazil.

Metaculus Prediction




© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.1

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.1