Study: Humans Surpassed AI Models in Planning and Prediction Tasks

Study: Humans Surpassed AI Models in Planning and Prediction Tasks
Above: Illustration of the OpenAI logo is being displayed on a mobile phone screen in front of another screen displaying a robotic hand, in Ankara, Turkey on Aug. 13, 2025. Image copyright: Ismail Aslandag/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Techno-skeptic narrative

This benchmark study just shattered the AI hype bubble by revealing what experts suspected all along — current AI models are sophisticated pattern-matching machines, not true intelligence. When tested against 517 humans on tasks requiring genuine world understanding, every top AI model got crushed, proving they can't build internal models of reality or adapt strategically like humans do.

Techno-optimist narrative

AI consistently outperforms humans across critical domains from health care diagnostics to financial trading, as studies show superior creativity scores and problem-solving capabilities. While humans excel in specific contexts requiring intuition, AI's unparalleled data processing speed and freedom from cognitive biases make it the superior decision-maker for most real-world applications.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies




© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.2