Study: Trump USAID Cuts Could Cause 14 Million Deaths by 2030

Study: Trump USAID Cuts Could Cause 14 Million Deaths by 2030
Above: U.S. President Donald Trump answers questions during a press conference at the White House on June 27, 2025 in Washington, D.C. Image copyright: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump's savage  $60 billion aid guillotine rips away Rohingya shelters, HIV medicine, and food for the starving, dooming 100 souls every hour and projecting 14  million graves ahead. This reckless cruelty betrays America's professed values and desecrates the universal right to life.

Pro-Trump narrative

America bleeds billions while its own citizens struggle — veterans homeless, families crushed by inflation, infrastructure crumbling. USAID's reckless global spending feeds corruption and waste, not genuine need. Fiscal responsibility demands that the U.S. heal its own wounds first.

Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


The Controversies



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