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Patience beats panic when the last rate move is still filtering through the economy. Growth is strong, hiring is steady and credit conditions are already tightening, so jamming through back-to-back hikes would risk breaking something for no good reason. Waiting on a couple more jobs reports and a fresh inflation read is sound policy, not weakness.
Sitting on hands while prices rip higher is how inflation gets baked in for a generation. Producer costs are surging, energy keeps punishing household budgets and the job market is nowhere near crisis, so another quarter-point is the obvious call. A central bank that flinches ahead of an election earns neither trust nor lower prices.
Both the Fed's outdated models excluding the dollar and calls for more rate hikes are wrong. Higher rates in this modern financialized economy do nothing but damage, as they can't fix supply-driven inflation while hurting small businesses and affordability. Incorporating the dollar's value into policy would better ensure price stability, growth and lower yields.