05 September 2022

Daily Newsletter

California Fire Prompts Evacuation

The Facts

  • On Sat., fire officials in Weed, California, said that a raging wildfire sweeping through the rural community has destroyed at least 100 homes and other buildings, injured at least two, and forced thousands to evacuate their homes.

  • The blaze, labeled the Mill Fire, began on Fri. and quickly blew through a neighborhood in Weed with a community of 2.6k people, before raging on outside of the town. As of Sat. morning, the fire is reportedly around 20% contained.

  • Calif. Gov. Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency for Siskiyou County to make state and federal resources available for residents. He also warned evacuated residents that they should plan to be out of their homes for "a minimum [of] several days."


The Spin

Narrative A

This is the latest in a pattern of catastrophic California fires and signals the increasing urgency of climate change. Every-increasing temperature - which isn't unique to just California - is putting everyone at risk; something must be done.

Narrative B

It's easy to dismiss any extreme weather event as a consequence of climate change, but in reality, they're usually influenced by a myriad of factors that have nothing to do with it. More research is needed before we can establish any direct causal link between the two.

See sources

Day 194: Gas Prices Set to Reach Record Highs, Euro Falls to 20-Year Low; Ukraine Claims Modest Gains

Photo: tass

The Facts

  • Analysts forecast that the price of gas in Europe will reach record highs this week, after the Russian gas giant Gazprom announced that it's indefinitely halting supplies via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline due to technical issues. Reports say Dutch TTF – considered a European benchmark for wholesale gas prices – was up as much as 30% in early trading on Monday.

  • Meanwhile, amid heightened concerns Europe is headed for recession, the euro fell below $0.99 for the first time in 20 years in trading on Monday. The news came as protestors in Germany and the Czech Republic held rallies over the weekend calling for their governments to reverse sanctions on Russia and tackle the soaring price of gas.

  • Russia blamed European politicians and sanctions for the halting of supplies via Nord Stream 1. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said: "If the Europeans absolutely absurdly make a decision to refuse to service their equipment ... which they are contractually required to service, this is not Gazprom's fault."


The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

Putin has weaponized European gas supplies in retaliation for the sanctions placed on his country over the Kremlin's illegal invasion of Ukraine. Europe needs to cut its dependency on Russian gas as soon as possible.

Pro-Russia narrative

It's an inaccurate fabrication to suggest Russia cut off gas supplies for political reasons. These disruptions are caused by European sanctions which have prevented essential maintenance work from being carried out and have put the pipeline in jeopardy.

Nerd narrative

There's a 5% chance that Nord Stream 2 will be completed before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Trump Responds to Biden at Pennsylvania Rally

The Facts

  • Former US Pres. Donald Trump branded current Pres. Joe Biden an "enemy of the state" on Sat., during his first public appearance since the FBI searched his Mar-a-Lago residence on Aug. 8.

  • It was also Trump's first public response to Biden's Sept. 1 speech, during which the Pres. condemned what he called "MAGA forces" that he deemed a threat to American democracy.

  • Speaking at a rally in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania, on Sat., Trump called Biden's speech the "most vicious, hateful and divisive speech ever delivered by an American president." He added, "The danger to democracy comes from the radical left, not from the right."


The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump came out of the gates swinging in retaliation to unjustified attacks, and delivered a great speech to rally voters to the polls in the midterms. His on-target critique of Biden's disgusting, divisive speech rebutted every hateful comment the President made - Trump had to strike back at the FBI and DOJ for becoming Biden's political tools and this response has made MAGA voters proud.

Democratic narrative

The evident rage in Trump's own address, which he used to criticize Biden's anger, reveals an ironic double standard. Even worse than his critique of Biden were Trump's continued unfounded accusations that the FBI has become politicized - all this former-President is doing is increasing the threats faced by law enforcement representatives.

Nerd narrative

There is a 79% chance that Trump will run for president in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Pakistan Official: Rich Nations Should Pay Reparations for Climate Change

The Facts

  • Pakistan's minister for climate change, Sherry Rehman, stated on Sun. that rich countries should pay reparations for their role in causing climate disasters faced by poorer nations.

  • In an interview, Rehman suggested, "There is so much loss and damage with so little reparations to countries that contributed so little to the world's carbon footprint that obviously the bargain made between the global north and global south is not working."

  • Pakistan is currently enduring extreme flooding after enduring both record-breaking monsoon rainfall as well as severe glacial melt in the country's northern mountains.


The Spin

Left narrative

A third of Pakistan has been submerged by torrential floods, and 33M people are displaced due to the actions of the industrialized world. The global north has so far ignored the humanitarian crises from climate change because of its apathy toward poorer nations like Pakistan. This climate colonialism cannot be allowed to continue, and rich countries must be held accountable for their destruction of the environment.

Right narrative

Committing to climate reparations could see nations like the US on the hook for billions of dollars for decades or even centuries. People need to stop attempting to guilt rich nations into paying outrageous amounts to countries that have failed to adapt and invest in their infrastructure. The US, and its people, are facing enough of their economic challenges without paying unjustified reparations or taking on so-called "climate refugees".

Nerd narrative

There's an 85% chance there will be at least 2˚C degrees of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

US Border Patrol Pleads With Migrants to Avoid Dangerous Crossings

Photo: Reuters

The Facts

  • The US Border Patrol has issued a "warning of extreme importance" about rising waters and dangerous river conditions after nine migrants recently drowned crossing the Rio Grande.

  • Officials stated, "in an effort to prevent further loss of life, we are asking everyone to please avoid crossing illegally." Additional rain is forecast next week.

  • Last month, the US Customs and Border Protection stated that it had discovered bodies of more than 200 dead migrants from Oct. through July.


The Spin

Left narrative

People are dying as they attempt to cross the southern border because there's no safe route into the US due to long-standing, racist immigration policies. Exclusionary laws and the multibillion-dollar obsession with keeping migrants of color out of the country must change to prevent humanitarian suffering.

Right narrative

The southern border is about to explode. The ability to expel immigrants under Title 42 was the one thing stopping an even worse catastrophe, but its recent removal by the Biden administration has allowed dangerous, illegal crossings to surge. Right now, the US is processing, transporting and releasing migrants, but border officials must arrest, detain and deport them.

See sources

Gaza: Hamas Executes 5 Palestinians

The Facts

  • Hamas - the Palestinian militant group that controls the Gaza Strip - executed five Palestinians on Sun., two of them on charges of espionage for Israel in 2009 and 2015. These were the first executions in the Palestinian territories since 2017.

  • Hamas has said that the two men executed for espionage provided Israel with information that led to the killing of Palestinians. The other three men had been convicted of murder.

  • Gaza's interior ministry stated that the "convicts were granted their full right to defend themselves in accordance with the litigation procedures."


The Spin

Pro-Israel narrative

Hamas continues to show its true colors by brutally executing anyone it sees as a threat. Human rights groups have continuously criticized this behavior, but Hamas simply doesn't care. Israel is right to blockade Gaza while these terrorists are in power.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Hamas undertook what is standard practice across the world, including in the US. Treason and murder are executable offenses, and Gazan officials have every right to seek justice for these crimes.

See sources

Canada Mass Stabbing: Second Suspect Dies in Police Custody

Photo: AP [via CNN]

The Facts

  • On Wed., three days after a mass stabbing that killed 10 and injured 18 in Saskatchewan, Canada, suspect Myles Sanders died in police custody, experiencing "medical distress" following his arrest, according to authorities.

  • Previously, his brother Damien Sanderson, who was also a suspect, was found dead on Monday. Police are investigating whether Myles had a hand in Damien's death.

  • The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) began a manhunt for the suspects less than three hours after the attacks on Sunday. Several of the attacks took place on the Cree Nation reserve and the nearby village of Weldon.


The Spin

Narrative A

Canada may not match other countries in terms of the total number of mass killings, but across the country, there has been an increase in these tragedies in recent years, including a van driver killing 11 pedestrians in Toronto in 2018, and a man posing as a police officer shooting and killing 22 people in Nova Scotia in 2020. This is a concerning upward trend.

Narrative B

The motive may not yet be established, but for too long, Indigenous communities have been ignored. Indigenous people suffer higher levels of poverty and unemployment and have a lower life expectancy than other Canadians. Now we see the consequences of the community's drug epidemic and the disinterest of law enforcement. Incidents like this highlight the importance of leaders listening to community needs.

See sources

Report: India Is Likely Reselling Russian Oil to West

The Facts

  • A report by Petro-Logistics released last week claims that Western countries could still be importing Russian oil via Indian refiners despite the sanctions Western nations have imposed on the Kremlin.

  • While it's difficult to determine if Russian oil is landing in sanctioned countries, the report estimates that India has exported 308 thousand barrels per day (kb/d) due to Russian crude oil imports out of its total 2,613 kb/d since the start of the war.

  • 37% of this total could be imported by countries that have imposed some sort of sanctions on Russia, including the U.S., South Korea, Singapore, Australia, and the Netherlands.


The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

It's outrageous that the West seeks to make India stop buying Russian crude oil to comply with illegitimate sanctions. Even countries that imposed them are now exempting themselves after provoking an energy price hike. Trade relations between India and Russia have a huge potential and can only benefit responsible multi-polar global governance.

Anti-Russia narrative

Yes, standing up to Putin's neo-imperial appetite requires sacrifices. But contrary to Kremlin propaganda, the sanctions are having a significant social impact on Russia. It's crucial to enshrine existing sanctions in legislation and to tighten up international solidarity for implementing them.

Narrative C

As many Indian oil suppliers have redirected their exports to Europe after the continent halted Russian imports, New Delhi had to find ways to ensure its citizens could have access to oil at the best price possible. Yes, some countries may not cherish this move, but this hasn't affected India's relations with the West.

See sources

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