Study: 75% of Glaciers at Risk

Study: 75% of Glaciers at Risk
Above: French Alps, near Chamonix-Mont-Blanc. Image credit: Unsplash

The Facts

  • According to a study published in Science on Thursday, nearly 40% of the world's glaciers are already projected to disappear due to existing climate-heating emissions, with potential losses rising to 75% if global temperatures reach 2.7°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • The study, which combined eight glacier models to analyze over 200,000 glaciers worldwide, revealed that even if global temperatures stabilized at today's levels, glaciers would still lose 39% of their 2020 ice mass, contributing to at least 10 centimeters of sea level rise.
  • Glaciers in the European Alps, the Western Rockies, and Iceland are projected to face the most severe impact, with nearly 90% of their ice expected to be lost at a 2°C warming over baseline. In contrast, the Hindu Kush-Karakoram region shows more resilience due to its higher elevations.

Sources Split


The Spin


Climate-concerned narrative

The study delivers a message of hope rather than doom. While significant glacier loss is inevitable, immediate and ambitious climate action can still preserve more than half of the world's glacier mass. Limiting warming to 1.5°C would save twice as much ice compared to current policies — protecting vital water resources and preventing catastrophic sea level rise.

Climate-skeptic narrative

The focus on glacier preservation may divert attention and resources from more pressing adaptation needs. Communities can prepare for glacier loss, if it even occurs, by developing alternative water sources and flood protection measures, as even immediate carbon emission cuts cannot prevent significant melting. Glacial melting is a complex topic with many dynamics.


Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies


© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.18.3

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.18.3